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Niantic Snorlax was featured in The probability that you will not get a shiny in 44 raids is (95)**44 which is 1047 Using the notion that is it one thing or the other, then probability of shiny in 44 raids is 1 minus 1047 9 Your math is correct The chance of NOT getting a shiny rayquaza out of 44 raids is 0,1047 or 1047%Shiny Pokémon are special versions of a Pokémon with a different coloration Unlike the main series games, shinies in Pokémon GO are much more common the standard rate is believed to be around 1 in 500 (compared to 1 in 4096 in the recent console games or 1/8192 in older games) Pokemon Go Ultra Unlock Sword And Shield Event And Timed Research Guide Polygon Shiny snorlax raid pokemon go